Saturday, December 31, 2011

End of year blog summary

I always mean to analyse what I blog about over the year, but never get round to it.

Well I finally have by downloading a single page html for the year of 2011.

Using some perl to extract the categories into the form Label->Frequency

Finally a short gnuplot script to do a histogram (this is very simple and I'm sure could be improved):

set style data histograms
set style fill solid 1.0 border -1
set xtics rotate
set term png
set output "barchart.png"
plot 'cats.txt' using 2:xticlabels(1) title 'categories'

Giving a png file that is here to given the categories.

Book read: All Hell Let Loose by Max Hastings



Hastings has written many historical accounts of war, mainly books focusing on an operation of a certain aspect of a war.

This books takes on the ambitious task of describing all of the 1939-1945 era. It does so from a top down analysis of events and their relative context to the wider war, and also from individuals accounts to convey the events themselves.

It is a great combination, the book is long but well edited - each chapter is concentrated on a single campaign or war aspect.

Hastings is particularly dispassionate about the British contribution, praise where it is due but also bringing up the failures (mainly in the far east). He also leaves no doubt as to where the most brutal fighting was on the eastern front, and the fact the allies had lighter fighting, this perhaps more reflects the brutality of the eastern front than anything else.

The eyewitness accounts are well inserted, and sometimes harrowing and saddening to read - but form an important part of the story away from reeling off cold figures about the war.

Managing Decline

Some papers from the Thatcher government call for the "managed decline" of Liverpool in the 1980s after the Toxteth riots. This is depressing reading, good that it never came to that - but it does show that it was being considered, in an effort of where best to focus resources.

Funny that Heseltine (clearly unloved even then), was sent as "minister for Merseyside" to help paper over things. Looking back the picture may have been depressing but Liverpool has been regenerated in parts - but it does serve as a warning as we are probably in a similar situation with a government which has over extended to cover undeserving banks leaving little for regional development (something which would serve many more people).

Retro Gaming

It is always impressive to see the emulators out there for long dead hardware to run code written for them. Chiefly in the games arena, things you might have played as a kid and want to relive, if only briefly.

It seems that most producers are happy for this to go on, they games can no longer be bought - and no business is being lost be someone else offering them for free.

Unfortunately the games of Ultimate are an exception, which is a pity because they were the most innovative and ground breaking on the 8 bit computing scene. Maybe there are good reasons why the games themselves are still being protected by their owner. In the interests of keeping our computing history alive, I'd like to see an agreement that makes all such software for long dead platforms freed up.

Dyson advert

The one case I can think of where patent law protected an innovative inventor who was being copied by larger rivals is Dyson.

They currently have an advert campaign showing an exploded view Dyson with parts that could be copied (hardly any) without infringing patents.

But now of course, Dyson is the big company having being extremely successful. At what point do they become the incumbent over protecting their IP investment and stopping a more nimbler business from prospering?

Thursday, December 29, 2011

Betfair Betting Problem

A few red faces at Betfair, a runner stays matched at 28-1 even after crossing the line...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/horseracing/8981353/Betfair-faces-backlash-after-in-running-fiasco-over-Leopardstown-Christmas-Hurdle.html

Apparently £21m matched leading to an exposure of around £600m.

Clearly a systems fault - as Betfair are suggesting, any punter with that much on their account would be highly unlikely (unless George Osborne is getting desperate!).

So they are not going to honour the bets, to do so would probably banrupt them! - but still very bad publicity and the last thing they need.

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

UK Tax System

Good summary of the UK tax system, the article demonstrating that income is taxed far more heavily than other forms of earnings.

http://www.lovemoney.com/news/household-bills/tax/12685/why-working-is-a-mugs-game

So about 30% of income for most people. A simplified tax system is long overdue, but it seems further away than ever. Especially since direct income tax is seen as a difficult thing for the government to raise.

Monday, December 26, 2011

Film: Christmas Vacation directed by Jeremiah Chechik

This is a film I try to watch every year prior to Christmas. It is a Chevy Chase comedy vehicle about a father and mother trying to ensure the perfect Christmas for their unappreciative children and relatives.

There are many over the top scenes to tell the viewer that sometimes more is less. The Griswold family Christmas tree is cut down from the forest, far to big to be practical. Chase spends days nailing lights to the house, which fail to light up on the grand opening - when they do they cause a neighbourhood power surge.

Griswold's trailer trash brother turns up who is on hard times, and needs to sponge Christmas off his brother. He tries to repay him by bringing his boss to the house to explain why there was no Christmas bonus this year.

The neighbours are a typical 80s modern couple who are shunning Christmas, but inevitably suffer from Griswold's attempt to celebrate it, this leads to some good comedy routines for Chase.

One funny thing that is obviously taken from the Wonderful Life film is the bannister on the stair annoying Chase (as it does Stewart), Chase "fixing" it with a chainsaw.

So a little dated, still funny, and does make you think of Christmas excess and how it is best avoided. 7/10

Saturday, December 24, 2011

Raspberry Pi Close

A link to a blog update stating that the initial run of boards is being tested, if they are ok then a bigger production run will begin.

http://www.raspberrypi.org/archives/422

That is really good news, and it looks an interesting projects device. It is interesting to look at the interfaces they have chosen on their minimal footprint device. I see the model B device as the only sensible option for a development board because of the network connection, the HDMI or RCA connector seems a little strange - but maybe RCA is more popular in the US. But given space was at a premium you think HDMI would be their only connector covering both audio and video. I had also read they wanted a device to connect simple to a range of output devices, so perhaps that is the reason.

Performance of the board would be of most interest to me, I have an Intel Atom based Nettop for any video viewing and archiving of content. It is certainly adequate at that but it does not take much to reach the limits of the device when doing CPU intensive work. You certainly notice yet another Windows Update getting downloaded if you were watching a video at the same time.

This board has a 700Mhz processor and 256Mbyte RAM, but the demos do show some pretty impressive results even though it does feel light on memory.

Friday, December 23, 2011

Microsoft step down from CES

Reported this week is the 2012 CES will be Microsofts last fronting of the event.

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/12/22/microsoft_dump_ces/

I've followed the keynote for a few years, actually sitting down watching it making notes - interested to see what Microsoft are trying to push out there. So although it is not a total surprise that they are pulling out it does mean I won't get that information about what they are doing. Of course a lot what they show never comes to pass, in that strange Microsoft way of never advertising something in simple terms but instead pitching between those "in the know" with over abstract marketing. Probably a symptom of a company that has been for so long a necessary evil bolt on, rather than someone you'd want to buy something from.

Film: It's a Wonderful Life Directed by Frank Capra

A post war film about a small town called Bedford in which James Stewart's character Bailey runs a small home loans business. He is portrayed as a selfless man who has passed up better opportunities to stay running the family business. The town also has a hard nosed banker who would want to see the business run on less benevolent terms.

The business hits hard times, there is a run on the loan company (where Stewart gets to explain fractional reserve lending rather well). Potter makes Bailey an offer for a much better paid job, which would be useful now that he is married and has family commitments. He turns it down on point of principle. This makes Potter want to see Bailey fail and he has his chance when he intercepts some deposit money from the loans company, enough to make them bankrupt.

With the investigators called in Bailey contemplates ending it all. At this point his guardian angel is sent down (who has been incentivised with the promise of earning his wings if he can sort out Bailey and save him). The guardian angel takes Bailey shows him how the world would be had he not being born. Predictably the Bedford town is called Pottersville, and he now has a very hard grip on the small town. His wife would never have married and is running the local library, and various things that affected other lives would not have happened.

The whole story ends with Bailey being sent back to his real existence and with the local town rallying round and raising the money to replace the stolen cash. A bell is also sounded to indicate that the angel gained his wings on the back of convincing Bailey to carry on.

A classic film, Stewart does feel a little overplayed at times - for example it does take him an awful long time for him to realise that the angel is showing him life in Bedford had he not lived. I would rate 6/10, IMDB has this much higher but maybe that's a nostalgic thing.

Sunday, December 11, 2011

Listening: Live in Cleavland 2011 Rush

I have not done one of these entries since 2009! Of course I've been listening to things since then, but maybe not in the car or entire albums.

This is the latest Rush live album and I have been listening to it recently. It has some good tracks on it, a high point being the Working Man rendition (with a Reggae intro). Lees voice is a bit of a weak point, it seems like it is a bit strained on this concert - but a minor point.

Ebook read: The Secret Life of Bletchley Park by Sinclair McKay

A very thorough history of the role the code breaking in Bletchley played during the war years, also a portrait of those involved from high up to the people doing day to day work.

I found this a really interesting read, the book describes well the code breaking mechanics without getting too bogged down in detail. It ties historical war events to the background code breaking. I had never appreciated that the location of Bismarck, the North Africa campaign, the Atlantic convoy war, and keeping Russia in with intelligence had all benefited from code decrypts.

Throughout the author is at pains to explain the secrecy involved, to the extent that some information could not always be used because it would betray the source. This secrecy continued way after the war, it was not until the 1970s when a book was released about the "Ultra secret" that the first signs appeared.

Non use of information has some controversy, the book argues that it was not responsible for allowing Coventry to be bombed without any evacuation, or for not informing the Americans of Pearl Harbour.

The accepted truth is that the code breakers shortened the war by two years, I think that under sells them, keeping supply lines open in the Atlantic, and keeping Russia in with intelligence must have been a huge tactical advantage.

The post war secrecy is interesting, Britain missed out on the birth of the computer having ironically used something akin to them in the code breaking. Alan Turing was treated shamefully and killed himself in the early 1950s. The silence of those who worked at Bletchley is quite staggering, with some sad stories of people not being able to bring themselves to tell their families what their role was after many years.

Part of this maybe down to the compartmentalisation of the decoding tasks, huts on the park which did specific jobs and everyone working in a culture where you might not have known what was going on in other departments. Bletchley did have a brush with the Cambridge spy ring as they recruited from bright academic circles, and that sideline is also interesting with the author suggessting the British government was happy to let some information be divulged to the Russians this way.

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

ICT education reform

Not a moment too soon, someone thinks that our ICT education is not really cutting it: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-15926871 Not that this will come as any surprise. I don't however think that pure Computer Science degrees are the answer. I think a programming education should be a part of any engineering discipline. This article is more focusing at school level and maybe college. How do we have a reasonable exposure to programming at these levels to capture peoples interest. It definitely is not about teaching people packages (again this can be done in subjects that want to use the package), and more about the creative and design process behind making software.

Osborne finds some levers

When they came to power Osborne said it was not as if he had some levers he could pull in his office to get economic growth, it was down to the people of the country and businesses to provide it.

Well he seems to have found some levers now, infrastructure investment, loans to smaller companies. All sounds good in principle, it's a shame governments do not think of doing more of this even in the good times.

The spectre of PFI deals looms over us though, a financial trick that allows outside private firms to earn interest payments off public funded developments - with advisors from private firms working in the treasury sounds like another scandal waiting to break

Film: Syriana Directed by Stephen Gaghan

A well done film about the murky world of oil commerce. The film has a few threads running through it. A US "energy consultant" who gets too close to the middle east countries and ruling families, a haggard CIA agent who becomes a liability, and two oil companies merging to carve up more of the oil resource.

It is a complicated plot and probably benefits from watching twice. It is also very contemporary and tells the US audience a few uncomfortable home truths that probably did not have to be spiced up for the big screen.

Saturday, November 26, 2011

Harrier Purchase

The Royal Navy scrapped Harriers have been sold for spares to the US marines. It was always bit short sighted to scrap these aircraft (even if it made sense to cut back on Ark Royal, and keep the aircraft just in case they needed quick deployment). As always Lewis Page sums up the UK government myopia: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/11/15/harriers_saved/

Mclaren Sports Car

There has been an interesting documentary series showcasing British engineering. In reality showcases the niche areas that we still manage to survive in, as we've never really done mass production (although perversely we seem to do it fine with Japanese management in car factories).

This week it was building of the latest McLaren supercar. In effect McLaren are doing the body work, paint work, and out fitting. Engines are built in the UK by another company.

It was an impressive operation, the programme did give an insight into the over meticulous Ron Dennis - who seemed perturbed by cracked or replaced tiles in his foyer area. But a tribute to perfection on one level, part of me did think "Red Bull have taken you to the cleaners this year, maybe this is the wrong thing to focus on!".

The programme had some interesting people interviewed, a 20 year serving employee now working back at the factory after having worked for the F1 team for most of his time. They also showed just how big and expanding a facility it is, they have sold out the first two years of production already - and the expansion means more car production. All an an "affordable" £160K, not bad for a supercar I suppose.

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Paul Darrow

He was probably my all time favourite actor growing up, of course from his association from Blakes 7. His career never really blossomed from that lead role, but I always remembered him. Subsequent research and interviews revealed that he had a lot of say in the Avon character - a bit of an anti-hero in himself. So my memory was jogged recently when none other than Paul was doing the voice overs for Jack FM - a local radio station. I found some good interviews with Paul on you tube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c0fuzN3hTQo http://www.youtube.com/watch?NR=1&v=IlewtItRku8

Monday, November 14, 2011

Ubuntu and Unity

A lot of disquiet over the X replacement Unity. I've only briefly tried it on a netbook, and it probably translated well there with the lack of screen real estate. I think like others I would find it a bit limiting on a more powerful system or with more screen space to use. I think also I really like Ubuntu as it is now, so a big change would probably feel strange. But are Canonical making a mistake - is this all really just a misguided attempt to go after the tablet market. Linux never made it on the desktop, we should not be thinking it's going to anything but flop on the tablet. Even with all the ease of use introduced over the years (and that is mighty impressive), Linux is the preserve of geeks in the desktop space - people who care about what their laptop/PC is running.

Sunday, November 13, 2011

Watching the odds

I tracked some prices of the England v Spain friendly football international yesterday. Betfair provide an open access API and some sample code that is easily modified to watch the price data over time. Spain were favourites and England were expected to struggle. In the end England despite missing some big names were resolute and saw out the Spanish pressure, managed to score a set piece goal, and held out for the 1-0. This had better not make them favourites for Euro 2012!

First of all stake over time:

My graphs are per minute, with about 30 minutes pre match included. A staggering £8 million changed hands! Next the bets for the home win with implied percentage (interestingly Betfair call the outcomes "runners" in their sample code, betraying their horse betting roots):

The Lampard goal clearly evident, England were drifting as time went on - the market reacting to their dogged defensive work.
The draw as implied percentage:

The away win as implied percentage, you can see Spain throw it away...

Google to announce music service

Apparently this in on the cards they are trying to tie up distribution deals with the publishers. It is probably already a crowded market place. The over walled garden of iTunes, Amazon (which I use), and probably a few others.

The music industry still struggles with having the idea of Digital Download, after all it was a business model that was foist upon them rather than one that they managed to see coming. Maybe things are changing now, and if the only benefit for them is less environmental damage (no physical product to ship and manufacture!) then so be it.

But how different things could have been, had the publishers been willing to see what was coming and get ahead of Tech companies like Google and Apple - they would be much more in control of their destiny. It was laughable how a company like Sony were completely blind sided by the coming of the MP3 - none of their mid 2000s portable players supported it. Nothing like signing your own death warrant and ingnoring market trends.

Having said that I purchased my first CD of the year - yes it still happens occasionally. It was the live Rush Time Machine Live in Cleavland.

Monday, November 7, 2011

Footballing Biographies

In the past I have read a couple of footballer's biographies, with Tony Adams "Addicted" and Stuart Pearce "Psycho" being the best of the largely ghost written genre.

But I have always thought of some ironic or well worn phrases that turn up in football commentary that would make good titles for biographies, so here is my fledging list:

  • I don't know how much he knew about that (for the lucky goal scorer)
  • How did he miss that
  • He must score!
  • He thought it was in
  • No way back from here
  • He's as surprised as anyone
  • It's a long way back from here
  • How did that happen
  • I'm not sure he can believe it
  • Not what he hoped
  • Nine times out of ten that goes in
  • That's disappointing

Sunday, November 6, 2011

Betfair new CEO

I read today that Betfair are going to announce a new CEO, recruiting the Chief Operating Officer from the online traditional bookmaker PaddyPower.

An interesting move they have had a lot of bad press, they seem to be throwing away and stagnating a fundamentally good idea. Maybe it is a case of you can only go so many places from where they are now, and there is not the scope to expand the business (although I am sure a lot of other businesses would love to have the opportunities of the market Betfair are in).

I use both sites for some low stakes fun betting. PaddyPower seems the most commercialised, incentives, and special offers based. In some ways that can be a distraction but at least the mechanics of actually betting do not get interfered with. They always market their offers as a fun thing and not as a cold business transaction.

Betfair on the other hand feels like a clean unchanging interface, I actually find it very functional and unfussy. They do a lot of former sportsmen "name" sponsorship which I always feel is a waste of time. These people only seem to get advertised on the site, and by definition you already know about Betfair if you are looking at their site!

So I hope the new CEO can sort out some of the problems they seem to encounter, supposed platform reliability, lack of growth opportunities. I wonder if they may even start to look at the high commissions charged, after all 5% is what the traditional bookmaker will build into their odds - and Betfair have always promoted themselves as better than the bookies - let's start seeing more evidence!

Alex Ferguson 25 Years at Man Utd

I am by no means a Man Utd fan, but you have to recognise his achievement for being in charge for that long.

I was much more into football early into his reign and I was reading today that his 1989-90 season was the one with the lowest win ratio (only 41%). I remember the FA cup game away at Nottingham Forest where they scraped a 1-0 win courtesy of a well taken Mark Robbins goal. It is often cited as the game that kept him his job, but I think that is perhaps a little exaggerated.

Of course they went on to win the FA cup against Crystal Palace in the final, Palace having knocked out Liverpool in the semi final. I remember really enjoying those games.

So after a 25 year reign, and having built successive teams football is very different now. In the current context the best comment I read today was Mourinho builds a team for now (at the expense of tomorrow), Wenger builds a team for tomorrow (at the expense of today), only Ferguson builds a team for now and tomorrow.

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Ubuntu

I've been an Ubuntu user on my laptop for a couple of years now. It really is excellent and I never miss having Windows at home for everyday use. It is a shame that more manufacturers do not support it as an option, even if that is just to certify that the hardware will work and the user self installs.
I bought my laptop through Dell when they had an Ubuntu push, I don't think you can do this anymore probably because of lack of demand which is a shame.
I listen to a few podcasts and one of them is centred around Ubuntu and it is interesting to hear of what they are doing. I wonder how Canonical can actually make it a viable commercial option to match the fact that it is a credible Windows replacement.

Book read: Secrets of the Moneylab by Kay-Yut Chen

An interesting economics lab book that comes from experiments run by HP to better understand their consumer business operations.

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Dtrace review

I re-watched this review and demonstration of Dtrace by Bryan Cantrill formerly of Sun He gives a very interesting talk, and a demo of tracing a process. Reminded me of just how powerful it is, although the scripting language would have to be mastered. Now the bad side is I've never heard much of ports to Linux, although they do exist it seems - but not as far as a distro with it available as a package. Oracle seem to be trying to introduce it to their repackaged RHEL offering. Cantrill makes some interesting observations about this technology having real use which is undoubtedly true. He then goes on to say Sun is out performing Red Hat - but we all know what eventually happened to Sun.

Monday, October 10, 2011

Book read: Predictably Irrational by Dan Ariely

An interesting read about human behaviour, and in particular how behaviour can be subtly changed by seemingly benign conditions and priming factors. The background context of the book is economic behaviour and why we behave certain ways. The ways are deemed "irrational", but the author is trying to show that they are predictably so. There is an awful lot of material covered in this book, almost all backed up by a lab style experiment involving volunteers. The most interesting parts are anchoring of prices by almost subliminal suggestive methods and the anchoring by the concept of "FREE" in marketing campaigns. The experiments are trying to expose and explain the underlying behaviour, there is a sense that modern marketing and advertising knows that the techniques work but Ariely wants to explore why work and provide some deeper understanding. Well worth a read, a book in the same vein as Freakonomics.

Sunday, October 9, 2011

Former Apple CEO Obituary

I found this to be a good summary of his life, and a good balance to the "loss of design icon" media mainstream. There was a lot more to Jobs than that, some good and some bad. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/obituaries/technology-obituaries/8810037/Steve-Jobs-obituary.html I particularly liked reading again of the early Apple days. Clearly not quite as successful as his return to Apple with the iPod/Phone/Pad line of products but still interesting history all the same. It is very sad he died so young - I never quite subscribed to any of the products of the last 10 years, they always felt too closed and a triumph of style over substance. Clearly that is a minority view - they had an almost religious following, another thing that always perhaps made me wary. I'm sure I'd love the iPhone or iPad if I ever decided to get one, but I am pretty sure I never will.

Thursday, September 29, 2011

NHS procurement spending

Interesting File on 4 documentary about the NHS procurement and how money could be saved by collective purchasing by groups of hospitals. Of course cheapest does not always mean best quality, but the documentary was pointing out huge price variation for the same item or over complex stocking of medical items that could be simplified. But it is good such efficiencies are being bought to the forefront, getting more for what is spent will mean a frozen health budget would be able to go further. There is also the question of specialist equipment like operating tables, where the sales of such items are done by reps direct to surgeons who are performing the operations - an argument can be made that bulk purchasing may not be the best option. Maybe such items can still be bought this way, if the other basics are more cheaply sourced. The programme ended on the decision to make more hospitals foundation trusts and would this lose such group purchasing.

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

E-Book read: Phoenix Squadran by Rowland White

Having read the excellent Vulcan book by the same author, I thought this one sounded like it could only be a let down from that story. So I bought it on my Kindle, and was pleasantly surprised. The context is of the use of Ark Royal using her Bucaneer aircraft to face-down a potential invasion of Belize. The author does a good job of describing the ship, the logistics of the operation, and the wider historical context of the time - that of Britain becoming a diminishing power and the decision to scrap the future carriers. Even though the operation was nothing more than a show of force (fly a long range mission to spend a few minutes circling the city), it acted as a deterrent to an invasion. The technical details of the ship and operations are very detailed, and makes you realise how complex carrier operations must be. Also in the days before GPS, planes having to use inertial navigation to dead reakon their position and intented movement of the carrier. The last part of the book focuses on 1982, when there was just two Harrier based carrier to send to the South Atlantic and wondering if the invasion would have taken place if more air power could have been taken down there. Of course we are building two new carriers, a completely bizarre decision - more so than the original cancelling of future carriers. One will end service in ten years, one will be mothballed or sold on completion as it's cheaper to build than to cancel.

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Ed Miliband conference speech

I saw the conference speech highlights and the Andrew Marr interview. Nothing really to commend him as a leader I'm afraid. The attempt to admit mistakes is at least laudable, although with Ed Balls as chancellor - you'd feel like it was Laurel and Hardy you were watching, and knowing there are more mishaps to come. Perhaps the best bit of the speech was "I'm not Tony Blair, I'm not Gordon Brown" And you're not David Milband either...

Sunday, September 25, 2011

Film: Black Hawk Down Directed by Ridley Scott

A fast paced film depicting an operation in Somalia by US forces trying to capture a key figure. The operation is under resourced by the political leaders leaving a risk of failure. The operation fails, and two helicopters are downed which then leads to an attempt to rescue the crew. The theme is of "no man left behind", a concept which leads to a long drawn out fire fight with Somali rebels and a complete overwhelming of the force involved. Really good location shooting on this one, and excellent shots of the military hardware involved. Since the film was made Somalia has now detioriated even further - but you can understand why.

Film: Gattaca Directed by Andrew Niccol

A science fiction film which depicts a world where our destiny in life is determined by our genes and how society discriminates based on them. This causes most in society to self select their best offspring, so as not to disadvantage them. The central character is born in the traditional way, and has many defects (just as we do today, where perfection is rare!). He subsquently enters into the underclass who can only get low level jobs. He does however get to clean up at the academy where they send people into space - a boyhood dream for him. He meets with a shady character who can mask his poor genes by crossing with a failed athlete who is now disabled and resembles him. So the film is the playing out of this charade, and charts his progress through the academy and onto the space flight. A murder of the flight director then brings the police in to investigate - and the heat is on in terms of his discovery. He does make his flight and his dream is realised. A really interesting film with minimal sets and some good acting.

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Lottery

Going back to Saturday 19th of November 1994. The first ever UK lottery draw, I was at University and this was a shared ticket. Only a few shops had got their lottery terminals working, so it was a struggle to get one. But here it is, we lost. Every few years I sort through some things and find the ticket again.
So this is my 400th post, and this seemed like a good thing to put up - from all of 17 years ago.

Banking Regulation

The government has announced the release of a report that decides what should be done to the banking sector to limit future risk. All good things like how much ready capital to keep in reserve, and ring fencing of investment and consumer banking. All to be implemented by, er, 2019. Is that soon enough, or will this just get forgotten as we are prepared to forgo safety for some economic growth.

Monday, September 12, 2011

Film: Apollo 13 directed by Ron Howard

A friend of mine picked this film up in Cash converters, now the premier place for DVDs it seems. This is a great film telling the story of the rescue mission of the stricken Apollo capsule after an oxygen tank had ruptured part way to the moon.

Really good detail of the space programme apart from that, and the 1960's age where anything was possible in America. Getting into orbit still remains a technical challenge, and this still represents the pinnacle.

Well worth watching.

Ron Howard directed, who I also saw as a fresh faced actor in John Waynes "The Shootist" a few days ago.

Sunday, September 4, 2011

Brown "unfit" for office

Alistair Darling has written his memoir of his time as chancellor, and it does not apparently paint a good picture of Brown. As one journalist put it today, he was unfit for office if you piece together all the evidence and accounts of his behaviour.

So why was someone not braver in the Labour party in ousting him while he was in government? There were just a couple of attempts and no heavyweights broke ranks to help see it through.

The memoir is probably also quite damaging for current Labour shadow ministers, some of whom were around and closely associated with the flawed and out of depth Brown.

ITV

I watched ITV yesterday for the first time in a long time. The channel proudly presents itself as "Terrestrial channel of the year", which is slightly strange proud claim. I was also exposed to TV advertising, Jenson Button trying to sell me head and shoulders.

So not a bad experience but not one I will repeat for a while, they just do not have enough content worth watching. A possible concern for them is that TV manufacturers realising the world is changing are trying to muscle in on advertising revenue by providing their own advertising spots on over the top content (after all why should the broadcast stream be the only insertion point of adverts).

Saturday, September 3, 2011

Raspberry Pi

This is a very interesting project to provide a basic computer at a target price to encourage people to hack with technology and become interested in what's behind the everyday gadgets they use.

http://www.raspberrypi.org/
http://www.blogger.com/img/blank.gif
Driven by the assertion that modern PCs are just too difficult to play around with or generate the fascination to insprire people to do things (especially people just starting out).

The price point is very interesting $25-$35 dollars seems incredible. If you think that nettop/books cost around $200.

Friday, September 2, 2011

Tax refund

In a rather futile move the Tax Office wrote to me (twice), to provide me a refund for over paid tax.

The amount?

£12.43! The bureaucracy involved in getting it to me must have cost at least that. I would have been prepared to say "tell you what, use it to pay off the national debt that nanosecond more quickly".

Still the fact they know so accurately is impressive, maybe that computer system is working in the worlds most complex tax system.

Tuesday, August 30, 2011

Generational Housing Lockout

News reports today of housing ownership heading to a 30 year low. That is something that is really sad, it represents the affordability of housing together with the difficulty of obtaining loans.

So calls for taxing the "investment" of buy to let, that is many years too late but still an idea. Also increased home building and reduced planning restrictions - the equivalent of printing money in this currency.

Another report I read was that at least people who could secure the finance a few years ago are trying to keep up payments when in arrears - so there may be no mass repossessions that were seen in the early 1990s.

Monday, August 29, 2011

Man Utd 8 - Arsenal 2

This is not a results service, but this was a bit of history - Arsenal's worst defeat since 1896. In all honesty you could have dug up the side of 1896, they would have still lost but not by as much.

Despite the midweek Champions League qualifying against Udinesse, Arsenal just could not keep pace with Man U. Very sad for Wenger, calls for him to go are premature but he needs to get some new players in, even if they are still future prospects because Arsenal (quite rightly) will not pay over inflated prices of the other top sides.

Sunday, August 28, 2011

UK Computing Education

I can remember taking what used to be called "Computer Studies" at school. That was in 1989, and it was the last year my school was going to offer that GCSE. I remember saying to the teacher why was this course being withdrawn, after all even then there was a skills shortage.

I imagine it was never re-instated, we teach how to use software packages but not so much how does software work and get constructed. Even the ex Google chairman has spotted it:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-14683133

Spreadsheet as a database

I am by no means a Microsoft dev expert, I think the last time I used Dev studio every day was back in the 1990s. But it always amuses me that the casual programmer is quite inadvertently catered for by Microsoft without them really realising.

If you think of the Excel VBA macro language, there are some people whose IDE is Excel. VBA is the integrated language and the spreadsheet, well that is the database.

So tightly integrated ecosystem that was completely unintended. I was thinking of this recently as I was updating one of my simple spreadsheets on Google docs.

Of course there is nothing wrong with this, but in my mind this "casual" programmer has no other tools to use - and has not really looked at escaping from Microsoft's ecosystem. Actually in their case I think their learning curve elsewhere would just be too high to be worthwhile, unless they were really motivated by something like ethics or anti vendor lock in - such things rarely trouble these people.

I wonder if Google docs is targeting such casual programmers who just want to get something productive done with minimum fuss.

Friday, August 26, 2011

Bandwidth

I was walking through my local shopping centre today and something struck me that I had not considered before. People were buying and consuming even though they were not in shops but just walking along. It felt like every other person was on their phone, talking over some vital detail with someone or just looking at their handset.

So all consuming bandwidth, I thought of this as I walked past one of the many mobile phone shops which had a back to basics advert with a blackboard listing their bandwidth capacity deal.

A commodity that is cheap at the moment, but bound to get more expensive as we all demand more of it? It has to be as surely there is a finite capacity we are talking about here, and as we find more ways to consume it. Those are fast growing, films on demand, ever more capable mobile phones that are always connected to the internet.

Maybe the telcos/ISPs will get the last laugh here, an industry that singularly failed to make money off the services running over their wires - maybe as the commodity becomes scarce they will be able to charge more money. We'll all be addicted to it by then, too much to change our habits?

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Film: Raging Bull directed by Martin Scorsese

A great performance by Robert De Niro, playing Jake LaMotta and portraying his life as a boxer inside and outside the ring.

It is a mix of humour, corruption, tough living and a rags to riches to rags tale. Clearly not the first boxer to have to deal with this.

Imaginatively shot with black and white sequences, some very good music - worth watching 8/10.

Friday, August 19, 2011

RBS Shares

I've had a SIPP for a few years, at first I mopped up all my under performing old pension pots and put them into this investment.

Not that I can think I can do better, but more that if I am going to lose the money then I am more than capable of doing it myself - and I can have some investing fun in the process.

That was about 2 years ago, I've bought some shares and some funds recently. But for the most part it has been difficult to invest - I just can't understand what is keeping the stock market so high. Companies are generally doing well, but more making money out of saving money and being more efficient - and there is only so much of that you can do.

But there has now been some market "turmoil", so there was a buying opportunity. While investing in some sensible prospects I decided to throw a small amount of money at the ailing RBS. So a bank going through a hard time - the government announced recently that it could see the break even point at selling off it's stake. That was around 65p not the rather sad 20p of today's prices. I'm hoping they can ride the storm and not go the way of HBOS:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HBOS

A forced takeover target in the last credit crunch.

Thursday, August 18, 2011

First Person Not to go to University

A few years ago it was quite common for people to say "I was the first to go to University from my family". This was before the days of mass higher education expansion, and could have been considered an achievement.

But now university places are much more available, the cost of the education is now much more on the shoulders of the poor student. So I am wondering if we may now see a generation, some of whom will be proud to say "I was the first not to go to university" meaning that they had found some other direction and avoidance of a ridiculous amount of tuition debt.

Saturday, August 13, 2011

Betting profit and loss

For a few years now I've done some low stakes betting, I term it micro-betting to keep my enthusiasm for sport - especially football going.

But I've never really tracked profit and loss, just bet within my initial budget. I do have memories of building up one account from around £10 to nearly £50 but that was eeking things out over a couple of years.

So this year, with the start of the new season upon us, I've decided to use a spreadsheet to track things. Hardly revolutionary, but I used Google Docs - very impressed with it for a basic spreadsheet like this, and I can access it from whereever I am.

Lets hope there is no cloud outage.

Thursday, August 4, 2011

KVM Virtualisation

Like most people I've been using virtualisation for a few years, through VMWare and VirtualBox. VirtualBox was the simplest solution for quick VM setup.

I'd never looked at any of the options like Xen as it always looked too complex.

But now RedHat 6 seems to be shipping with KVM, and so far quite impressed with it. A kernel module option and some client tools to make VM machine creation easy.

Setting up bridged networking did need a little setup - the link below gives the details:

http://wiki.libvirt.org/page/Networking#Bridged_networking_.28aka_.22shared_physical_device.22.29

Sunday, July 31, 2011

Walk: Extended Run Route

Back to the extended run route, did 4 good running stints:

Distance: 2.90 miles 4.67 km

R0: 0.36 km - Past hotel to under trees
R1: 0.36 km - Past traffic lights to halfway before next lights
R2: 0.32 km - Bus stop to second T junction
R3: 0.23 km - Crescent to Crescent

1.27 km in total, 27% of the route

Saturday, July 30, 2011

Blind Search

With the web it's easy to get stuck in your ways, just checking a few sites for things of interest. Very rarely in this mode do I find myself searching out new sites or even going back regularly to check discoveries I have made.

Maybe it's time to start using RSS feeds, a bit of a hopeless omission that. Bookmarks I kind of use but never have the discipline to go back and check, preferring to just searching for what the site I want to visit.

Monday, July 25, 2011

Bike Ride: Abbey North Route

10 km, 6.26 miles - 31 mins.

Cycle out to the Abbey, turn right, head north on the A road, up some slight hills and under the main motorway bridge.

Turn right into the Village, and through the main road, severe climb up back under the motorway bridge.

First bike ride since April, have been concentrating on the walk runs. Still I did this in better time than previously.

Sunday, July 17, 2011

Film: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 Directed by David Yates

I think this is the first ever time I have gone to watch a film on the opening night and I can hardly be described as a Potter fan - as I barely know the background of the stories to make sense of the films.

I elected to watch in 2D, there might have been a handful of scenes where 3D might have bought something - but the demise of this gimmick surely cannot be far away? A shame really as technically it's clever, but as usual it is a case of because we can do something should we?

The film plot itself is pretty good, the final showdown. We're led to believe that Harry might die in his pursuit of the Hallows, but of course this is Hollywood and he does not.

The final scenes see a jump of 19 years, and Harry and co sending their children off to Hogwarts - a touch over nostalgic but you can forgive the franchise this over indulgence.

Film: Senna Directed by Asif Kapadia

A documentary film that was getting rave reviews even by non motorsport critics.

The film uses extensive archive footage to piece together the personality of Senna and what motivated him. There is plenty of motor racing footage, but also lots of interview converage that touch on the causes he supported outside of motorsport.

Of course he was adored in Brazil, a ray of light during difficult times.

The film finishes with a 20 minute weekend coverage of Imola and his eventual death, but does dwell on this or dig into the technical details of why things may have occurred.

Great documentary.

Book read: Darwin's Island by Steve Jones

Have seen this book at stores for a while, but finally decided to buy and read it.

The title is subtle, the island Jones is referring to is the British Isles and the point of the book is to expand on Darwin's other life long works beyond the Origin of Species.

He does a very good job at this historic coverage and linking it to present day science and discoveries. The chapters on bees and worms are particulary interesting. In the case of worms it the under appreciated efforts that keep our argriculture running.

An interersting read.

Sunday, July 10, 2011

Walk: Extended Run Route

I've kept doing the extended run route, and managing to run 3-4 stints of around 250m-300m length.

Did two back to back this weekend, extended run route and a shorter walk/run to pick up the paper on Sunday.

Call Centre Return

An interesting news story about call centres returning to the UK, these industries were probably amongst the first to disappear with reduced labour and office costs in India.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-lancashire-14025904

So with India overheating, labour supply becoming more competitive it is difficult to retain staff that you have trained. The opposite is true in the UK, more loyalty from harhser economic conditions.

These are not high wage industries, £14000 a year is quoted - which is not a lot to live on. But a job is better than no job and it is an interesting rebalancing of the labour distribution.

Saturday, July 9, 2011

Phone Hacking

This story seems to have not run out of steam yet, and with the allegations going to get worse (can they possibly get more worse than hacking phones of crime victims?) I think it has a place in the headlines for another couple of weeks.

So all at the expense of other news, heard of Libya, Afghanistan or anything else recently?

If one thing comes out of the inquiries it will be the untying of politicians from the reins of a media tycoon who appears to have far too much sway over decisions and policy. Shameful that it has taken so long to expose, people were much too comfortable for too long knowing this was going on.

As to where the story goes, if it goes too far into the government then it could put the country into crisis.

Atlantis Final Launch

Link to the final launch of Atlantis on the BBC news site:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-14085502

I can remember being at primary school and the class being taken to the "TV room" to watch the first launch of the shuttle. I remember it being delayed a couple of times and it was history in the making (at the time it was NASA getting back into manned space flight):

http://video.google.co.uk/videoplay?docid=8147866533180818812

Although much critiscised for not delivering the cheap reusable service, I think sometimes we forget that getting into space is still non-trivial. It will be interesting to see how the private companies do at delivering the same idea.

A high point for the shuttle must be the repair of the Hubble space telescope, and audacious repair from which it took some stunning pictures of the galaxies.

There is now a gap of a few years before any potential next generation launcher, so we are back where we were in the late 1970s. It remains to be seen whether nations such as China or India overtake the stranglehold that the US and Russia had on space flight.

Sunday, July 3, 2011

Over The Top

A term you hear more, delivery of services via streaming over the internet rather than traditional broadcasting.

So BBC iPlayer for example, and other on demand services like Netflix. All effectively a download model for content.

All well and good, but hang on where is all that bandwidth going to come from? If these services have massive uptake then surely there will be a problem? Even a quick search now reveals North America at 20-30% Netflix traffic at peak times.

And this area is still in its infancy - I for one do not want to see the internet clogged up with people who do on-demand instead of being able to plan what they want to watch entertainment wise.

With planning you shift out all the peak time traffic to quieter times. All you have to do is choose the things you want to see, and have them downloaded and then available locally when you want to see them. At that point you are guaranteed the content, and don't have to rely on an flaky bufferring over the top service in "on demand" mode.

Still I think we'll have to see a bandwidth crunch before anything sensible like that happens.

Monday, June 27, 2011

MOD waste targeted

At long last targeting waste in the MOD:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-13923042

The problem would be where to start, for the money we spend we should have a balanced capable set of services - but we don't. A few things I'd like:

1. Buy best of breed proven solutions and license them for manufacture in the UK. That both gets something useful and solves the defence providing jobs problem.

2. Rein BAe in over cost overruns, the shareholders should share some of the burden.

3. Faster equipment procurement for things we need right now. Clearly where practical, but there is not point having focus groups trying to predict the need for the next 50 years, some things especially troop related can be reacted to rather than planned for.

Sunday, June 26, 2011

Greece Default

The news this week of if Greece looking for at least longer time to repay bonds, and a worst just a reduced payment for lenders. This really could be the second part of the bankrupt state part of the recession.

The interesting twist of China now stepping in to back the Euro debt, their interest is to keep trade and export markets open - it does seem an interesting move on their part.

This may stop the Euro from completely collapsing, and maybe the breathing space needed for those states that take single currency responsibly to separate themselves from those who do not.

Greece Default

The news this week of if Greece looking for at least longer time to repay bonds, and a worst just a reduced payment for lenders. This really could be the second part of the bankrupt state part of the recession.

The interesting twist of China now stepping in to back the Euro debt, their interest is to keep trade and export markets open - it does seem an interesting move on their part.

This may stop the Euro from completely collapsing, and maybe the breathing space needed for those states that take single currency responsibly to separate themselves from those who do not.

Dyson and Patents

News today that the Dyson bladeless fan is getting imitated by Chinese manufacturers. Of course it has novel ideas in it and is covered by patents. Dyson is the one test case I can think of where patent law actually worked to proted the, at the time, "small guy" from imitation from big manufacturers.

Still I cannot see him winning this case, China probably has less respect for patents than most. But it does at least give an interesting case, of probably valid novel ideas being copied by competitors.

Wednesday, June 15, 2011

HMS Invincible scrapyard

Shot of HMS Invincible being scrapped:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-13778654

So the end of an era, the veteran ship is no more. I'm surprised the breaking happened overseas, as the UK has some scrap specialism (thinking of the French carrier that was scrapped here):

http://dontgetdemoralised.blogspot.com/2009/02/clemenceau-at-breakers-yard.html

Maybe we only specialise in the more toxic jobs, Invincible probably would not have had too much of that.

Saturday, June 11, 2011

US Warning on NATO

Not surprisingly the US has warned that it will not forever plug the gaps arising from decreased defence spending in Europe. We're learning the hard way with NATO expected to do most of the Libya operation, and a stern warning over our inability to provide enough force in Afghanistan (this one we could argue was a mess of America's own making, and a severe lack of understanding of previous history).

But overall I can't blame them, it does not bode well if the US decide to sit back a bit and not be so interventionist.

For Britain's part we do spend an awful lot on defence, but it is badly allocated - its laughable to think we must have analysts working on defining the needs for the next 50 years, but we struggle with an ever changing threat and lack of investment in forces that are needed right now.

I can only hope that cutbacks make us think more carefully what we really need to be effective. Trident replacement has been surprisingly quiet of late. The RAF and Navy finally have some idea that they can work together with the Apache helicopters on board HMS Ocean. This kind of thing is vital to get the most out of what we spend.

Facebook features

A new feature in Facebook, allows face recognition in photographs and identifies the person has been silently rolled out. Followed by a swift apology for not making it more clear that the feature was appearing.

I suppose it is harmless it sounds like it just picks friends out of photos. But another example of Facebook opting you into something that you might not really need or want.

Monday, May 30, 2011

Tweet Legalise

Following on from yesterday, I was thinking now the Twitter site will probably feel it has an obligation to tell it's users that their identity/data is at risk of being provided to law enforcement, no matter how trivial the law that is being enforced.

Maybe also each tweet will have to carry a signature, much like corporate e-mails which disassociate the corporate entity directly from the person sending the e-mail. "The text in this tweet are the views and responsibility of the tweep only".

I'm looking forward to the "social responsibility" phase of social networking!

Sunday, May 29, 2011

Tweet at your peril

The world of court injunctions on media reporting has finally collided with the world of the web and the feeling that you are not responsible or accountable for your comments.

Twitter is a nice idea for sure, surely harmless and possibly useful somewhere between a blog and a status update. But not when you are commenting on affairs of others it seems, you will be in legal hot water.

In some ways I like the injunction in this case because it keeps trivia out of the media, it really is none of our business. But with the social element, we can all find out who this "unamed celebrity" is if we really did care.

But there comes a point where the fact that "everyone knows" is itself a news story, which the media sees as legitimate to report. To think that this gets top billing on the news really does show how the media chases these trivial stories over more pressing world events.

I do not doubt that many managed twitter accounts that celebrity users have probably have legal vetting of anything that gets said, but for the everyday user - say what you like and find out what the consequences are later!

Could be an expensive time in court proceedings. Careless tweets don't cost lives, but it seems they should come with a responsibility warning.

Over Communication

We live in a world now where if you choose you can be in contact with everybody you know pretty much all of the time.

So this leads to people walking down the street, staring at their phone handset in order to get the buzz of having someone message them to find out some trivial information that really could have waited until later. Worse still are people talking on their phone as they walk, also about something that is not important and really did not need to be done right now.

It also destroys the ability to plan ahead and organise, going to the shops? Make a list! Why do that when you can stand in the aisle using your phone discussing with your partner "have we run out of toilet roll". How is this more efficient?

Has this made the world a better place? Because communication is more instant and accessible it now gets treated without thought, on the one hand it is nice to be accessible, but surely there are times when you do not want to have the disturbance - yet some people seem to crave this constant inane interruption.

These technologies have provided some useful features, access to information on the move like maps, or location based search are truly useful. Being able to update your facebook status, mark your position with a location tracking site, or never be out of touch with the stream of messages less so.

Will the tide ever turn? Behind all this are the mobile companies who are all too happy to have their consumers pay for bandwidth to facilitate all this, and it seems the consumer is all too happy to be trapped in this business model. The current generation do look trapped into something that they think will make them happier but in the end probably leads to a degree of misery, hidden pressure, and frustration.

Film: Pirates of the Caribbean 4 Directed by Rob Marshall

Went to see this film at the cinema, it had not had great reviews and maybe was looking like a installment too far for the franchise.

But it was ok, Depp plays the pirate role well and is quite funny - almost switching between in period and comedy that only a modern day person would know. The effects are good, even without the obligatory 3D that every film seems to come in now.

Geoffery Rush shows he is versatile as one of the competing captains for the fountain of youth. Ian McShane is good as Blackbeard.

The plot marches along, some effort at the end for a plot twist that you could really see coming, no real surprises but an ok film.

Sunday, May 22, 2011

Walk: Extended Run Route

The last three weekends I've done the extended run route and built up running on 3 parts of the route. The distances are about 200-300 metres at a time so some progress.

Still some way off ever running it too completion, and still some way from doing the complete Abbey circuit - but the progress is that my back holds up ok now that I do some exercises daily to help with that.

The Social Network Bubble

The first of the social network IPO floats has happened. In some ways it is the one I have most sympathy with, LinkedIn is at least not on the trivial side of this social connection phoenomena.

Still it feels ludicrously overvalued, what do you do, what do you produce - what is your revenue stream - all these feel fairly weak.

Of course we all know we've seen it before, web style companies with valuations bigger than a company like Boeing (who actually do something, not just a service company).

Another good example from history was boo.com, collapsed in the last bubble, and the BBC had a good documentary about it this week:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/tv/2011/05/evan-davis-business-nightmares.shtml

Maybe we have not quite reached those heady heights yet. This company had tens of millions in monthly running costs, kept putting the website launch date back, and when they did launch the shopping was rather quiet.

Sunday, May 8, 2011

Alan Sugar Interview

Interesting interview with Alan Sugar with the new series of The Apprentice coming up, which I enjoyed in it's early business orientated form - but now feels just like a talent contest "monkey fight" show without so much business background.

So I always thought he should have done a decent FreeView PVR, presumably his Sky box production contract was more lucrative and stopped him from doing anything competitive. This was exactly his sort of product in a not too crowded market place.

But he seems to be returning to this area, on the board of YouView a hybrid FreeView and iPlayer product. Interesting if they can get it to market before all the satellite/cable incumbents get their offerings polished.

Another part of the interview discussed the E-mailer, an early example of a product with subscription sold on top. A disaster, but apparently broken even after all these years!

Ebook read: The Hound of the Baskervilles by Conan Doyle

The third of the four full length Sherlock novels and perhaps the most famous with the most adaptations. The writing style has really developed by this stage, less concentrating on introducing Sherlock and more plot and case solving.

It contains a famliar ruse of Sherlock using Watson as a decoy so that he can do his own detective work on the moors - that would have been the twist in the plot in its day but the countless adaptations of this story mean it is telegraphed a bit too quickly.

Still a good story, and a difficult case for Sherlock to solve.

It is interesting to note that this novel represents almost a ten year gap between the Sign of Four. It was written and serialised in 1901.

Monday, May 2, 2011

Paper read: Extra Terrestrial Relays by Arthur C Clarke

The now famous 1945 Wireless World article where Arthur C Clarke proposes the geo-stationary satellite for relaying of communications:

http://www.clarkefoundation.org/docs/ClarkeWirelessWorldArticle.pdf

Written back in 1945. His predictions though tentative came true. He did well to see the application as this was before anybody had got anything into orbit, let alone knew that that signals transmitted would propagate from space. One amusing part is where he jokes about now having a good use for the V2 rocket after the war.

Sunday, May 1, 2011

Book read: Why does E=mc2 by Brian Cox and Jeff Forshaw





On the back of reading a brief history of time this book looked like an interesting read. In some ways it has the same aims as the older book but does not shy quite so far away from any mathematical treatment. That said the maths it presents is fairly basic, little enough not to scare away but enough to make you want to know more if you are so inclined.

This book did make me think more about the time dilation effects of spacetime, something I had not properly appreciated before. Also the discussion of invariants and wanting to do physics with equations that are invariant for all observers.

There is a more up to date treatment of the fundamental particles, and more coverage of the mass energy equation.

Finally the standard model is presented and the missing link goes on into the discussion of the LHC and what it hopes to reveal.

Saturday, April 30, 2011

20 Posts in a Month!

A blog record, 20 posts in a month. Of course if I am to make 150 in a year then this is really making up for the first few months of this year.

Probably a little too high a target, means a post every 2.5 days compared to 3 of last year.

Also posts like this to make up the numbers are probably dubious, but I thought this was worth mentioning.

Royal Wedding

I am by no means a great fan of the monarchy - but not enough to want to see the back of them or the reduction of their mainly ceremonial role.

But I did watch the wedding coverage, as it is a part of history - and it was a well staged event, everyone commenting on this is something "Britain does well". Well there had to be something ;)

I am amazed that so many crowds turned up for what must have only been fleeting glimpses of the event.

My favourite banner in the crowd was "It's checkmate Kate, you've taken the King".

Says it all really!

Friday, April 29, 2011

Bike ride: Solent Route

12.5 miles, 20.2 km, time 62 minutes

This is my longest route that I have not completed in a few years, probably as many as 5 years. It goes to the next town then across the front of the Solent. A pretty flat route so one for higher average speeds. Interestingly I thought it was a longer route than 12 miles as it always felt more tiring. But today was good conditions not too hot and not too windy to avoid making the front a hard cycle.

Thursday, April 28, 2011

The Carriers

Not too surprising but the carriers have their next cost increase exposed by the media:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/thereporters/robertpeston/2011/04/aircraft_carrier_costs_to_rise.html

It looks like to accommodate the version of JSF that the American military are likely to go for - the version that needs catapults rather than VTOL to take off.

So the overrun will only be £1bn if we convert just one of the ships, but we are building two - with one likely being an immediate sale to a foreign Navy, so it makes sense to convert both.

It does seem like we set our sights on a yet unbuilt aircraft rather than building something that could be used with a range of aircraft and now we are paying the price that we were hoping to save by being so specific.

Blair and Brown no Invitation

Both Blair and Brown have been omitted from the wedding guest list. Whereas Major and the now infirm Thatcher have been included.

That does seem a little unfair, maybe it would have been better to have Major/Blair. Is it all down to protocol with Major holding a knighthood title and Blair not?

In some ways thinking back to the death of Diana, and with Blair/Campbell at their spin doctor best, Blair did a lot to bring the royalty back to the real world and saving them from a PR disaster. Maybe those are painful memories and something they could never really thank him for.

Brown: The good points

Gordon Brown really did sink without trace, much as he promised he would if he walked away from politics (actually it was more like hounded out, but I'll try not to split hairs).

So I've been thinking of the good points and maybe doing a series of articles for some time now. The trouble is the good points are few and far between and barely cover one blog entry.

But here goes:

1. Stopping Blair from waltzing us into the single currency. Hard to believe it was ever on the agenda but it very much was in the early 2000s and Blair would have seen it as a defining moment of his time in number 10. Brown devised a few economic hurdles before he would consider it, I am not sure if they ever got much scrutiny - but they were a thinly veiled no.

His motivation here may have just been keeping Blair out of the treasury, or not losing power over the madness of joining the European experiment. But whatever it was it turned out to be the right decision.

And that's it, still it is a big one. I want to talk about his early months of prime minister where he looked steady but that does not stand alongside the first point.

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Book read: A Brief History of Time by Stephen Hawking




A book I knew of but have never read before. I had been put off by hearing that it was the most bought science book of its time but the least read.

In fairness I can see why, if this was your first book on this subject then it would be a tough one to read and take in all it was telling you.

It is however a really well written account of particle physics, time, quantum mechanics, and the lifetime of the universe. The best thing about the book is it starts off with the astronomical observations which then led to the esoteric theories which I think is essential in motivating the harder to comprehend physics.

The observational astronomy ranges from the earth orbiting the sun, Hubble's expanding universe, and Einstein's light being affected by gravity.

The other main theme of the book is the still unfinished work of unifying the large scale physics theory of gravitation with the quantum particle world. All this really boils down to is to understanding how gravity works at the quantum level. The best way of thinking of this is that we think on the large scale as gravity as a force that is not conveyed by a particle just an omnipresent force.

The foreword of the book is by Carl Sagan, now sadly dead. The book is very concise and well written, and Hawking is a man who despite his obvious disability has achieved a huge amount in the field - most of it after the time he was expected to have lived, as he was given a couple of years life after diagnosis of his disease.

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

Windows XP Support Ending

Microsoft are dropping security fixes for XP Service Pack 2. It is after all 10 years old, although many business shops have yet to upgrade since Vista was so clearly a rushed out flop. Microsoft have redeemed themselves with Windows 7, I prefer to think of this as what Vista really should have been had their not being the suits creating huge delivery pressure.

I do not know where this will leave fresh activations of Windows XP (handy for virtual machines at least). But it does present Microsoft with an opportunity, they could just allow XP licences now, since they are saying it's commercial life is now over.

Obviously not a choice we'll see them take, but a nice idea!

Monday, April 25, 2011

Bike Ride: Village Long Route

10.5 miles, 17 km, time 55 mins.

At long last the return to the longer village route, out toward the village, up the steep hill, then a detour around the back of the industrial estates down through the much modified Hunts Pond road.

Then rejoining the medium route, back through the village and returning home through Peak Lane.

A couple of extra miles over the medium route and completed in just under an hour.

Thursday, April 21, 2011

Film: Ronin directed by John Frankenheimer

I re-watched this film from 1998 as I remember the great car chase sequences through Paris. I had forgotten the twisting plot, a group of hired guns who are to setup an ambush to recover a "case" whose contents are never revealed before it is sold to the Russians.

In some ways the plot is a vehicle for the car stunts. Robert De Niro plays a very good lead, a shame Sean Bean got such a short role but he plays it well.

There is a strong Irish terrorist link with the handler Deirdre having a thick Irish accent. The end of the film with the main protagonists killed had a radio clip of the IRA agreeing to ceasefire terms, although that is a little tenuous.

Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Microsoft article

An interesting article about the problem with Microsoft:

http://tech.fortune.cnn.com/2011/03/29/the-problem-with-microsoft/

It is an interesting subject, that multi billion dollar research budget - they often are years ahead on prototypes for example with tablet computing. Some successes for sure like Kinect, but constant failure in media, mobile, and amusingly the best tablet device they made was a stock control checker for warehouses (there is an app for that?)

But as with any company that size the politics dominate the deliverables. So power struggles and internal wrangling ends up sapping most of their creative direction and energy.

The shareholders would not put up this forever in any sane market economy.

Future King

I suppose it is something most of the nation must be thinking, but tonight on the news talk of the throne going straight to William rather than the misunderstood/tarnished Charles.

There is something in it, but I cannot see Charles ever agreeing to it. Maybe there is some compromise with Charles coming in for a cameo innings of a few years to steady things after the death of the Queen.

Actually that is not a great analogy, since cameo innings in cricket can be as much as 30 runs ;)

Sunday, April 17, 2011

Ebook read: The Sign of Four by Conan Doyle

The second of the four main Sherlock novels, published a couple of years after the first. Holmes and Watson now presented as established companions and some strong hints of Holmes' self destructive nature for stimulants and drugs to fuel his over active brain.

The case he has to solve is actually presented as a break from such behaviour. The client Miss Morstan also appears to be a rather weak romantic link for Watson - Holmes being far too clinical to ever consider a client as anything other than a part of the puzzle.

The story of a murder as with the first novel unravels to far away places, this time India - probably a much easier subject for the author to write about compared to America in the first novel. The novel is well paced, but you can see some bits coming given the subsequent ubiquitous nature of Holmes in later stories.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Sign_of_the_Four

Ebook read: A Study in Scarlet by Conan Doyle

I used the guttenberg site to download the original short story to feature the legendary Sherlock Holmes. I had read it many years ago and it was interesting to read again. Conan Doyle was only 27 when he wrote this work in three weeks, while working as a Doctor in Portsmouth Southsea.

The book is both an introduction to the central characters of Holmes and Watson, really their first meeting as well as a description and solving of a crime. It has quite a tirade against the Mormon religion, and one part of the book is devoted to describing the background of the murder over in America.

I imagine that at the time this would have been quite difficult to research and write about, and America must have seemed like an exotic and far away place.

Wikipedia has a good summary of the books' background:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Study_in_Scarlet

Bike Ride: Abbey Route

My shortest route 3.80 miles, 6.12 km, time 20 minutes

Round the back of the abbey and then the steep hill back toward home. The hill is really tiring and takes a lot of effort to climb even in low gear.

Saturday, April 16, 2011

Kindle Purchase

After thinking about it for a long time I've purchased an Amazon Kindle. Mainly because I managed to convince myself I could get enough use out of it and also to have a reader on which I could read out of print books or books that I would not want to take up space with in my house.

Initial impressions are good, the display is very crisp and paper like - the experimental browser is also ok - good enough to download a book from Guttenberg. I did not get the 3g version, the wireless version was good enough for my needs. Setting up the networking was also quite painless.

I am a little wary of Amazon becoming like Apple in their device lock in and increasingly using it as a channel into which to sell things. I will certainly try purchasing a book to read on it, but I cannot see it being my main use of the device.

As a company I like Amazon, the least evil of the big commercial corporates - but time will tell on this.

Sunday, April 10, 2011

Bike: Village Short Route

Bit of a gap between rides this, so just the short route.

6.4 miles, 10.3 km, time 32 mins.

This is my short village route, that skirts around the outside but still uses the Peak Lane route home.

The time was good despite not having ridden for a while.

Saturday, April 9, 2011

Tuition Fees

The cut backs in University funding are now coming to a head. Whilst the government had said that £9000 per year fees would be the exception rather than the norm, it seems that a large percentage of institutions are going to be at the higher end of the scale.

It seems like a power struggle between them and the government where the student loses out. Eventually the government themselves might be the loser, many of the loans they back will never get repaid. Also the universities make the claim the tuition fees need to be that high to support poorer student access.

What a mess! What would really sort this out is more flexible access to higher education, shorter compressed courses - more affordable. Stop trying to keep to the old way of doing things when more flexibility might benefit the country more.

I look back at my student days, where the tuitions fees were paid. I can just about kid myself that it was worth £3000 a year. But in no way was it worth £9000 a year.

Sunday, April 3, 2011

Book read: A Mathematician's Apology by G H Hardy, Foreword by C P Snow




A short book that contains a long foreword about the life of G H Hardy the English mathematician and his essay written in 1940 discussing what mathematics is about and asking the question what purpose does it serve.

The foreword was particulary interesting for me, as well as discussing his life and decline it also discusses his collabration with other mathematicians. One such collabration was the discovery of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Srinivasa_Ramanujan a self taught genius number theorist. I had heard about this man in a documentary but it was interesting to recognise him described in more detail.

Saturday, April 2, 2011

McDonalds

I set foot in one of these places about once every 5 years, maybe a bit more. Clearly I am not their core customer.

My friend, on the other hand, is a veteran of these establishments having once worked there and continued as a customer. I am not sure why since he complains that even having put so many thousands of pounds their way over his lifetime he has never once been asked if his food was ok - the place lacks any sort of customer service beyond the point of sale. I think it is just the wrong sort of place for that expectation, but clearly I am no expert.

But my problem is why do I find it so difficult to order something? I'll be part way through ordering something mundane and basic, and I get interrupted and asked "is this a meal deal?". I want to say "I've not been to one of these places for x years, how would I know?". Still the till staff were pleasant enough but why needlessly complicate the deals?

I appreciate it is probably me at fault, must do better next time. It is just a shame I have to wait until 2016 for my next shot.

Sunday, March 27, 2011

National Debt

Interesting article by Liam Halligan in the Telegraph, a long time advocate of honesty about the cost of the bank bad debt, and the cost of the bailout. This time it is just admitting that by 2015 our debt will have merely stopped growing. As he puts it in laymans terms the first year we will not need to extend our mortgage.

Both sobering and incredible.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/liamhalligan/8408664/Britains-leaders-should-come-clean-on-the-true-depth-of-the-fiscal-crisis.html

Saturday, March 26, 2011

Oracle ending support on Itanium

An interesting move by Oracle, preumably to make to their hardware offering to look more attractive and to muscle HP-UX out of the market (although I always feel it has not long to live!)

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/03/24/oracle_hp_ux_itanium_analysis/

Focusing on x86 is also interesting, Itanium has always felt like an expensive operation - and maybe is was only going to find niche markets. Will a clean design processor's time ever come to relieve us of all the x86 baggage.

Air Strike Verdict

Good but harsh analysis from Lewis Page - you might think the strikes are a way for the RAF to justify Euro Fighter.

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/03/25/libya_analysis/


But not according to Lewis! I am not sure I totally agree with a cruise missile approach, what about reconaissance - I suppose an area where we would always have to rely on the US spy satellite network.

He also makes a good case for the Harrier, although I'm not sure how effective they would have been even with the advantage of being nearer the operation.

Still the basic points remain we should be getting much more value for money for defence spend, and buying well proven things from the States - even with the option of fitting out the internals ourselves to maintain a certain degree of independence would beat the Euro Fighter fiasco.

Wednesday, March 23, 2011

Libya Air Strikes (2)

So now Europe gets to feel what it is like to not have the Americans lead the operation. They are looking to not command the allies, and Nato looks fragmented and weak - lucky the Russians never came knocking!

Still I think it is Obama wanting to keep it low profile, not shirking the need to do the operation but not wanting to have it labelled an American action with the Nato allies making up the numbers (although as always that is exactly what it is)

Sunday, March 20, 2011

Libya Air Strikes

Cameron called it right it seems, part of me thinks the Americans let him take a lead on requesting the no fly zone - knowing they would be the major partner with their forces, but perhaps not wanting to look like the rest of the world being dragged along behind them.

Of course the question is how much can be done purely from the air, there must be zero appetite for an ground offensive given Iraq and Afghanistan.

From the British point of view a important reminder on the unpredictability of defence need. Despite all the 5,10,15, 20 year studies I bet not a single one could predict this campaign. Balanced flexible forces for the unexpected is the only way to provide defence, and do not get too stuck on building defence for perceived threats that never materialise.

Stoic Japenese

Despite all the tradegy in Japan you cannot help but be impressed by their quiet determination. From the fire fighters at the plant down being asked to risk their lives to those clearing up.

One cultural thing is the boiler suit wearing leader - apparently as a signal of the work ahead. I was thinking could that work here, maybe Cameron to wear combat fatigues - maybe not. Then you would have Tony Blair, the guy would never have been out of combat uniform!

Budget 2011

Budget time this week, and talk of simplification of taxes - something Brown was never ever capable of. Although likely to be steps to simplify, I really hope the merge of NI and income tax happens - a very outdated tax and now just another revenue raiser long outliving it's original intended purpose.

This was first talked about by Osborne back in 2005, let's hope he starts to deliver on the promise. Although it is all too easy to promise from the opposition benches - just look at Labour coming up with good ideas like VAT reduction for home improvements, shame they didn't do it while in power!

Saturday, March 12, 2011

Eurofighter national audit office report

Lewis Page writing for The Register gives some details of the whole sorry Eurofighter procurement.

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/03/03/eurofighter_nao_analysis/

The much reduced number of planes may just have a few years of realistic life, at least as ground attack aircraft, before the JSF comes into service.

Although it is a showcase for European engineering capability, this has to be one of the most mis-managed defence projects of all time.

Friday, March 11, 2011

Film: The King's Speech directed by Tom Hooper

Finally went to see this Oscar winning film, I must admit when I first heard the story line I did wonder how much of a film this could be.

But it does a great job of describing both the history and atmosphere of the era - and not since Enigma has a film done that so well for this period. It also puts you right there in the emotion of the problem and the weight of expectancy that the future king would have. I did not realise back then the monarch was more a figurehead and was expected to speak for the nation.

Colin Firth plays superbly closely followed by Geoffery Rush who plays the speech therapist. It is rare for a film to touch my emotions, but you really felt the crushing pain of his problem and the acute sense of fear and frustration - and also the elation of making the pre wartime speech without too much fault.

The film is also about the coming of broadcast, and particularly radio - those around it knew it was the new medium that had to be mastered to communicate effectively.

Great film 9/10

Tuesday, March 8, 2011

SAS Libya

I suppose all special operations have a good chance of failing, but the SAS reputation kind of goes before them - even if it does make them seem larger than life or infallible.

So a little disappointing to be captured by rebels in transit with diplomatic staff in Libya. Although it probably made sense to have some protection, travelling clearly as special forces kind of makes a big target and open to the option of capture and being used for propaganda.

Still the internet was down, we could not really send an e-mail.

Wednesday, March 2, 2011

Car Insurance

In a completely logical yet at the same time mad ruling the EU has dictated that you cannot price insurance based on the sex of the driver. So women, often the winners in equality legislation, are set to lose out.

The news yesterday had two teenage drivers who were brother and sister twins. The brother was quoted £3400, and the sister £1700. Both of these are unaffordable and ridiculous insurance pricing. Surely the better use of EU time rather than blanket rulings like this would be to make the insurance companies offer better pricing for better behaviour (no late night driving, no modified cars). The question of sex discrimination would then never come into the equation.

Monday, February 28, 2011

Libya No Fly Zone?

A gradual pressure increase for Gadaffi to leave, with "military action" not being ruled out.

That probably means a no fly zone, no doubt US enforced. Be interesting to see what Britain can add to that, no carrier for a (token) Harrier presence, RAF from Malta too with Tornado or Eurofighter?

But a great illustration of the needing to have a balance in defence, as you can never predict the future threat precisely (despite all the projective studies all the defence organisations must get funding for).

Sunday, February 27, 2011

Walk: Extended Run Route

First attempt at run since August! No R3 crescent-crescent.

R0 0.15km (Past traffic lights to before left turn)
R1 0.2km (Back to traffic lights)
R2 0.15 km (Bus stop to second T-junction)


Grand total 0.5 km Represents 11% of the route of 4.66 km.

Discovery Launch

Last launch of Discovery, good link on the BBC to the launch with mission control commentary:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-12573413

Still an impressive site any rocket taking off, even though the space shuttle was always a bit of a mish mash of a vehicle.

I can remember the seeing the first launch! Several aborted attempts but at Primary School lessons were stopped so we could watch it on television.

Defence Review

Liam Fox felt it necessary to have a article in the Telegraph today defending that the defence cuts have not gone too far and we can still react to the unexpected. Despite the fact that the rescue operation is being done by a soon to be de-commissioned ship. He also waxes lyrical about the capability of the new carriers - and conveniently forgets that they are more than five years away.

Next is the "fourth biggest" spender on defence argument. I think he could do much better by ensuring that is met by "value for money", too often we throw money at contracts that are under valued and then run into painful spending overruns.

Libya

Our foreign policy, if it can be called that, of bringing Libya/Gadaffi gradually in from the cold has back-fired. It might have been the right thing to do all the time the Colonel was making the right noises and becoming less extreme.

More worryingly is the weaving of this leader into the finances of Europe - they run a soverign wealth fund - based on oil proceeds that perhaphs could have been better used directly in Libya itself. Also the son Saif seems to have tried to make himself look more respectable in society and academic circles.

Still it would not be the first time that our leaders have seen the flash of cash, the promise of contracts and kind of forgotten the ethics and done deals they maybe should not have done. Blair calling the Colonel during the current crisis just shows the level of contacts he must have had.

Sunday, February 20, 2011

U turns

With the dropping of the planned forest sell off after a short public campaign the government is now seen as week for listening and dropping their policy.

It is a fine line between not listening (as with Thatcher and the disastrous community charge) and being seen as making poor policy that does not survive any sort of scrutiny.

Maybe the complete dropping of the policy makes the government look weak, but it definitely should not stop them from listening in future - even though it is not such a media story it is likely more appreciated by the electorate.

Bike Ride: Village Medium Route

8.5 miles, 13.6 km, time 48 mins.

The medium route, with the steep hill before cycling down to the village, and returning through Peak Lane. The hill did not feel too bad, and I got round in a good time.