Tuesday, June 5, 2012

Facebook Economics

After a couple of weeks of trading, it's nice to sit down and work out how they are doing

The shares have taken quite a battering, and confidence is down.

There are 2.14 billion shares issued.

$38 per share, $81.32 billion market cap.

This was an incredible floation price, remember it is just a website people use for free, with advertisers try to target those people, and with Facebook every so often changing the privacy rules to try and make it more of a business proposition.

$27 per share, $57.58 billion market cap.

That is a loss of $23.74 billion, 30% of the flotation price. Maybe now things have found their true level, but I cannot see how this business can justify much more than a 10-20 billion value (and even that is pushing the imagination).

That would imply a share price of $9...

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